In this paper we present the theoretical foundations and the simulation results obtained with a new dynamic general equilibrium model developed at the Banco de España for the Spanish economy and the rest of Euro area. The model is designed to help in simulating the effect of alternative shocks...

An accurately estimation of the cyclical position of an economy is a necessary condition for the success of fiscal stabilisation policies. In this paper we show that the estimation of the output gap by means of decomposing a production function produces similar results to univariate and...

We explore the implications of the differential behavior of total factor productivity across sectors for understanding the dynamics of the relative prices of services and manufactures. We find that, in the second half of the nineties, contrary to the assumptions of the Balassa-Samuelson...

The purpose of this paper is to illustrate the implications for aggregate price dynamics of alternative characterizations of microeconomic price adjustment policies. Within the hazard adjustment framework developed in Caballero and Engel (1993a), we present alternative models of individual price...

This paper addresses the issue of measuring the NAIRU in the Spanish economy. We implement some of the procedures proposed in the literature to estimate the NAIRU, describing their advantages and disadvantages. Our analysis shows that these alternative approaches provide significantly different...

In this paper we show that value added mark ups tend to be pro cyclical in manufacturing and counter cyclical in market services. However, at the sectoral level value added mark ups may be misinterpreted if intermediate input variations are ignored. This is particularly true in the case of the...

This paper presents a new version of the Spanish quarterly macroeconometric model. The previous version [see Willman and Estrada (2002)] evidenced a number of shortcomings, some of which are redressed here. In particular, the model now uses seasonally and working days adjusted time series; it...

Household debt in many advanced economies has increased significantly since the 1980s and accelerated in the years prior to the Great Recession, resulting in an aggregate reduction of saving rates in the developed economies. Some of those economies are now deleveraging, which may be affecting...