We find that Okun's law provides a simple and accurate means of understanding and predicting changes in the unemployment rate in Australia. Okun's law also implies a rate of output growth consistent with stable unemployment, called the growth of potential output. Our estimates of potential...

Kai Daniel Schmid nimmt eine integrierte stabilitätstheoretische Analyse der Zinspolitik vor, welche die Anpassungen der Produktionskapazität an Veränderungen der Güternachfrage berücksichtigt. Der Autor zeigt auf, inwiefern kurzfristige Zinsimpulse auch in der langen Frist...

The existing literature suggests a number of alternative methods to test for the presence of contagion during financial market crises. This paper reviews those methods and shows how they are related in a unified framework. A number of extensions are also suggested that allow for multivariate...

This paper discusses the risks of stagnation over the medium term in the euro area. It examines the consequences of longer-term growth trends that predate the crisis and the progress made in addressing the crisis legacies of high unemployment and debt. The paper illustrates in a downside...