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This paper provides estimates of potential output growth in post-apartheid South Africa using both time trend techniques and a production function approach which indicates a potential growth rate of around 3 percent. The implied output gap provides statistically significant information for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403846
In the last few decades, real GDP growth and investment in advanced countries have declined in tandem. This slowdown was not the result of weak demand (there has been no shift along the Okun curve), but of a decline in potential output growth (which has shifted the Okun curve to the left). We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859859
Following very strong growth during the period 2000-12, emerging market economies (EMEs) experienced a slowdown in the last couple of years. This paper examines the supply-side drivers of the strong growth performance of 63 EMEs and investigates if the recent slowdown in growth is transitory or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040406
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growth is expected to decline in all regions, the negative effects of COVID-19 on trend labour productivity growth in … productivity growth across all regions. A partial recovery in all regions is expected to be driven mainly by the gradual recovery … in trend total factor productivity growth and trend labour input growth. In the US, potential output growth is expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012319139
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U.S. labor and total-factor productivity growth slowed prior to the Great Recession. The timing rules out explanations … intensively, consistent with a return to normal productivity growth after nearly a decade of exceptional IT-fueled gains. A … calibrated growth model suggests trend productivity growth has returned close to its 1973-1995 pace. Slower underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458418
This paper estimates potential output and the sources of growth in Chile during 1970-96. Actual output is cointegrated with the quality-adjusted measures of capital and labor, and constant returns to scale cannot be rejected. The estimates of potential output show a positive output gap in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782207