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into an i.i.d. generational consumption shock. In other words, each generation bears all of the risk associated with their … producing human capital. We also demonstrate that this attenuation effect tends to concentrate generational consumption risk … around the generation subject to the birth rate shock. In a limiting case, we show that an i.i.d birth rate shock translates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011816630
into an i.i.d. generational consumption shock. In other words, each generation bears all of the risk associated with their … producing human capital.We also demonstrate that this attenuation effect tends to concentrate generational consumption risk … around the generation subject to the birth rate shock. In a limiting case, we show that an i.i.d birth rate shock translates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925513
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306552
Was the increase in income inequality in the US due to permanent shocks or merely to an increase in the variance of transitory shocks? The implications for consumption and welfare depend crucially on the answer to this question. We use CEX repeated cross-section data on consumption and income to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012733915
negative shock transmits to consumption compared to 9% of an equal-sized positive shock – and the pass-through increases as the … shock worsens. Our results are consistent with surveys of consumption responses to hypothetical events and suggest that tail … income risk matters substantially for consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349877
Recessions and expansions are often caused or reinforced by developments in private consumption - the largest component of aggregate demand - which, as a result, varies over the business cycle. As such, an accurate measurement of the cyclical component of consumption and an understanding of its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380708
A large number of pairs of countries exhibit a dynamic pattern in which: (i) Fertility in both countries declines … across time; (ii) Initially one country has higher fertility and lower per-capita income compared to the other; (iii) In time …, as per-capita income converges, fertility rates in the poorer country become lower than in the richer one.This paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012734396
wherin a state s representative individual may choose to marry in order to diversify his or her idiosyncratic income risk … undiversifiable risk becomes larger, and when a state s initial income and growth rate is lower. A test of the model s predictions …, using cross-sectional data for the 50 U.S. states, suggests that there is broad support for a risk sharing motive for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409730
Fertility in the United States rose from a low of 2.27 children for women born in 1908 to a peak of 3.21 children for …-twentieth century baby boom and generated a rise in women’s human capital, ultimately leading to a decline in desired fertility for … associated with a rise in fertility for women born between 1921 and 1940, with a rise in college and high school graduation rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011757239
The importance of consumer confidence in stimulating economic activity is a disputed issue in macroeconomics. Do changes in confidence represent autonomous fluctuations in optimism, independent of information on economic fundamentals, or are they a reflection of economic news? I study this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080711