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The financial crises of 2007-2008 and the subsequent worldwide recession show the importance of exploring the correlation between financial and real crises. Starting from our new estimation of the Italian business cycle (Bartoletto et al., 2017), we analyze the linkage between banking crises and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917986
We propose a joint dating of Italian business and credit cycles on a historical basis by applying a local turning-point dating algorithm to the level of the variables. Along with short cycles corresponding to traditional business cycle fluctuations, we also investigate medium cycles, because...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927567
While economic theory has been applied to numerous topics in economic history, there are very few attempts to interpret major macroeconomic shocks from the perspective of standard Keynesian theory. This paper presents a history of aggregate demand and supply shocks spanning 1900 - 2016 for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242646
This paper provides an overview of the Russian Federation’s default history, the legal characteristics of the bonds, and potential issues for litigation should a default materialize. The paper’s main argument is that although it is not impenetrable, this Eurobond stock is more protective of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290181
Does the concept of General Purpose Technologies help explain periods of faster and slower productivity advance in economies? The paper develops a new comparative data set on the usage of electricity in the manufacturing sectors of the USA, Britain, France, Germany and Japan and proceeds to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033865
We examine the role of substitution from traditional to modern energy carriers and of differential rates of innovation in the use of each of these in Sweden from 1850 to 1950. We use a simple growth model with a nested CES production function and exogenous factor augmenting technological change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035027
When did Germany become economically integrated? Within the framework of a gravity model, based on a new data set of about 40,000 observations on trade flows within and across the borders of Germany over the period 1885 - 1933, I explore the geography of trade costs across Central Europe. There...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753424
Existing historical GDP series for Norway do not always coincide with our historical knowledge of the economic development. This is to a large extent a result of lack of calculations from the production side and in addition to insufficient data sets upon which these series rest. The present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830433
A large literature on "border effects" in the wake of McCallum (1995) documents the massive impact of borders on trade. However, all these studies suffer from an identification problem. "Border effects" are usually identified from cross-sectional variation alone. We do not know how trade would...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316562
This paper presents new monthly capital gains, dividend yield, and total return indices for common equities quoted on British stock exchanges from 1829 to 1929. As well as creating an all-share index, we create a blue-chip index of the 30 largest companies, which we splice to the Financial Times...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011999611