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The aim of this paper is to analyze the sustainability of public debt in Italy during the last 150 years (1861-2010) by employing a database containing several statistical novelties: new time series estimates of public debt and GDP (respectively Bank of Italy and Baffigi, 2011) and an original...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292801
Was Germany ever united? Given the historical circumstances of Germany's unification in the 19th century there is no obvious answer to this question. But such an answer can affect the prospects of the post-1989 unification process, and beyond this of European integration. We provide an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299097
We propose a joint dating of the Italian business and credit cycle on a historical horizon, by applying a local turning-point dating algorithm to the level of the variables. Along with short cycles, corresponding to traditional business cycle fluctuations, we also investigate medium cycles,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010531793
This paper introduces the Data Collection Task Force of the South-East European Monetary History Network (SEEMHN DCTF) and its first result. Good policy making should be grounded on good data. To this end, the SEEMHN DCTF works since 2006 towards establishing a SEE macro history database of 19th...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011304506
Der Euro ist ein intensiv diskutiertes Thema, sowohl in der Wissenschaft als auch in der Politik. Während die einen mit ihm eine glorreiche Zukunft Europas prophezeien, betrachten ihn andere als Übel, das den alten Kontinent ins Verderben ziehen wird. Die vorliegende Arbeit geht der Frage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332624
Does the concept of General Purpose Technologies help explain periods of faster and slower productivity advance in economies? The paper develops a new comparative data set on the usage of electricity in the manufacturing sectors of the USA, Britain, France, Germany and Japan and proceeds to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333435
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335057
In den letzten drei Jahrhunderten wurde mehrmals der Versuch gestartet, eine stabile Währungsunion aus souveränen Staaten zu bilden. Vier historische Beispiele sollen durch ihre Entstehungsgeschichte und ihren Zerfall Aufschluss darüber geben, welche Gründe und Ursachen die Instabilität von...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010369590
This paper is a thoroughly revised and extended version of an article firstly published in the anthology "Moderne Wirtschaftsgeschichte" (München: Oldenbourg) in 1996. This book is an introduction to modern economic history for historians and economists. Accordingly this paper has to two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427362
Two centuries of Greek debt crises highlight the pitfalls of relying on external financing. Since its independence in 1829, the Greek government has defaulted four times on its external creditors - with striking historical parallels. Each crisis is preceded by a period of heavy borrowing from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011498369