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This paper compares the welfare effects of anticipated and unanticipated cost-push shocks within the canonical New Keynesian model with optimal monetary policy. We find that, for empirically plausible degrees of nominal rigidity, the anticipation of a future cost-push shock leads to a higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826605
We study Ramsey monetary policy in a New Keynesian (NK) model with endogenous growth and knowledge spillovers external to each firm. We find that in contrast with the standard NK model, the Ramsey dynamics implies deviation from full inflation targeting in response to technology and government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064560
In price formation it has become customary to consider two main types of price stickiness: by Rotemberg (Rotemberg (1982)) and by Calvo (Calvo (1983)). The nonlinear DSGE models (with different types of stickiness) are estimated for 11 different countries (both developed and emerging markets)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016889
In a VAR model of the US, the response of the relative price of durables to a monetary contraction is either flat or mildly positive. It significantly falls only if narrowly defined as the ratio between new house and nondurables prices. These findings survive three identification strategies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023113
In a SVAR model of the US, the response of the relative price of durables to a monetary contraction is either flat or mildly positive. It significantly falls only if narrowly defined as the ratio between new-house and nondurables prices. These findings are rationalized via the estimation of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929918
At the zero lower bound (ZLB), expectations about the future path of monetary or fiscal policy are crucial. We model expectations formation under level-k thinking, a form of bounded rationality introduced by García-Schmidt and Woodford (2019) and Farhi and Werning (2017), consistent with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101259
Real wage rigidity is known to create a substantial trade-off between inflation and employment stabilization for monetary policy in New Keynesian models with search frictions on the labor market. This paper shows that, quantitatively, this finding hinges very much on the assumption of constant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119333
Much recent research has focused on the development and analysis of extensions of the New Keynesian framework that model labor market frictions and unemployment explicitly. This chapter describes some of the essential ingredients and properties of those models, and their implications for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025670
We explore the dynamic effects of news about a future technology improvement which turns out ex post to be overoptimistic. We find that it is difficult to generate a boom-bust cycle (a period in which stock prices, consumption, investment and employment all rise and then crash) in response to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003803289
This short paper shows that a New Keynesian model with limited asset market participation can generate a high risk-premium on unlevered equity relative to short-term risk-free bonds and high variability of equity returns driven by monetary policy shocks with zero persistence.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432126