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Agents who acknowledge that their models are incorrectly specified are said to be ambiguity averse, and this affects the prices they are willing to trade at. Models for prices of commodities attempt to capture three stylized features: seasonal trend, moderate deviations (a diffusive factor), and...
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We study momentum and mean-reversion strategies in commodity futures prices and their relationship to momentum and mean-reversion in commodity spot prices. We find that momentum performs well in futures markets, but not in spot markets, and that mean-reversion performs well in spot markets, but...
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. Bitcoin contributes only 2.55% to the connectedness, while the wheat volatility index accounts for 12.51% of the total … transmitter to the wheat volatility, while being the spillover receiver from the oil and corn volatilities. The findings suggest …
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