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attribute these mixed estimation results to a raft of empirical issues from which many existing studies suffer, including bias … the operation of a Taylor-type rule, albeit with considerable inertia. We argue that estimation across rolling windows may … estimation provides substantial evidence that the inflation and output preferences of the Fed have varied through time …
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The problem of weak identification has recently attracted attention in the analysis of structural macroeconomic models. Using robust methods can result in large confidence sets making inference difficult. We overcome this problem in the analysis of a forward-looking Taylor rule by seeking...
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