Showing 141 - 150 of 369,555
This paper examines persistence, structural breaks and non-linearities in the case of five European stock market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012024535
exhibit a higher degree of persistence, which reflects relatively long lags between inflation and wage adjustments. Endogenous … subsample estimates imply an increase over time in the degree of persistence of both series. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013417630
This paper uses fractional integration methods to examine persistence, trends and structural breaks in US house prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472362
This paper examines persistence in tax revenues in a set of 21 OECD countries over the period 1965-2021 using long …, Finland, Spain, Sweden and USA). The analysis is also carried out for inflation in the same set of countries. Again the I(1 …, stronger evidence of mean reversion is found for the differences between the three original tax series and inflation compared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382942
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012501581
This paper studies factors behind inflation dynamics in the euro area, the UK and the US. It introduces a factor … inflation in the three economies. The FAVAR model framework is also applied to study the effects on inflation subcomponents in … the more recent past. The FAVAR models suggest that headline inflation in the three economies has reacted in a relatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020653
evidence of autonomous variance breaks and inflation gap persistence. Through a real-time out-of-sample forecasting exercise …This paper revisits inflation forecasting using reduced-form Phillips curve forecasts, that is, inflation forecasts … inflation, a host of real-activity data, term structure data, nominal data, and surveys. In each individual specification, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003947544
This paper studies inflation persistence with time-varying coefficient autoregressions for twelve central European … countries,in comparison with the United States and the euro area. Inflation persistence tends to be higher in times of high … inflation. Since the oil price shocks, inflation persistence has declined both in the US and euro-area. In most central and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009768497
model .fits the data well, and the results suggest that inflation persistence follows from future expectations. Persistence …We propose a noncausal autoregressive model with time-varying parameters, and apply it to U.S. postwar inflation. The … curve indicate that current inflation also depends on past inflation although future expectations dominate. The implied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724822
Two Bayesian sampling schemes are outlined to estimate a K-state Markov switching model with time-varying transition probabilities. Data augmentation for the multinomial logit model of the transition probabilities is alternatively based on a random utility and a difference in random utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010493611