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We make use in this article of a testing procedure suggested by Robinson (1994) for testing deterministic seasonality versus seasonal fractional integration. A new test statistic is developed to simultaneously test both, the order of integration of the seasonal component and the need of seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612017
Modelling the volatility (or kurtosis) of the implied volatility is an important aspect of financial markets when analysing market consensus and risk strategies. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the ability of symmetric and asymmetric GARCH systems to model the volatility of the FTSE 100...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254483
The paper provides a comparison of alternative univariate time series models that are advocated for the analysis of seasonal data. Consumption and income series from (West-) Germany, United Kingdom, Japan and Sweden are investigated. The performance of competing models in forecasting is used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014193101
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, Italy and the UK). The empirical results suggest that inflation in France and Italy is nonstationary. However, while for the … exclusively from the long-run or zero frequency. In the UK, inflation seems to be stationary with a component of long memory at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271118
, Italy and the UK). The empirical results suggest that inflation in France and Italy is nonstationary. However, while for the … exclusively from the long-run or zero frequency. In the UK, inflation seems to be stationary with a component of long memory at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271959
method is based on the comparison of standard log-periodogram regression estimation of the memory parameter with its tapered … parameter under the null, and is therefore estimated by bootstrapping. The test is applied to inflation rates of three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509839
This appendix to “Nonparametric Modeling for the Time-Varying Persistence of Inflation” presents supplementary results … using an alternative measure of inflation based on the GDP deflator. First, we provide the local linear estimation results … of time-varying inflation persistence using GDP-based inflation. Then, we present the estimated local inflation level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255314
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