This paper reports a two-stage analysis of inflation persistence using monthly data from 11 IT countries and, for … comparison, the US, a non IT country with a history of credible monetary policy. First, we estimate inflation persistence in a … inflation persistence. We use the sequences of estimated persistence measures from the first stage as dependent variables in the …

inflation persistence and reached diverging conclusions. In this paper we investigate the dynamics of inflation persistence … using fractionally integrated processes and find that there has been a clear decline in inflation persistence in the U … commensurate decline in inflation persistence in the other G7 economies …

. This paper continues this strand of research by examining the role survey expectations play in the inflation process and … reports three principal findings. One, short-run inflation expectations appear to play a significant role in explaining U ….S. inflation over the past 20-25 years. Two, long-run expectations generally do not appear to have a direct influence on U …

hybrid specification that includes both lagged and future inflation and then by examining whether the estimated coefficient … on future inflation is significantly larger than the one on lagged inflation. This article presents the evidence that … is irrelevant and expected future inflation is the major determinant of inflation — arise if the hybrid specification is …

This paper asks whether a textbook Phillips curve can explain the behavior of core inflation in the euro area. A … critical feature of the analysis is that we measure core inflation with the weighted median of industry inflation rates, which … is less volatile than the common measure of inflation excluding food and energy prices. We find that fluctuations in core …

imposing rational expectations, direct measures, ie OECD forecasts, are used to proxy economic agents' inflation expectations … Classical and Hybrid Phillips curves. We interpret our results as indicating that the European inflation process is not purely … forwardlooking, so that inflation cannot instantaneously adjust to new information. Consequently, even allowing for possible non …

This paper examines the recent behavior of core inflation in the United States. We specify a simple Phillips curve … based on the assumptions that inflation expectations are fully anchored at the Federal Reserve's target, and that labor …-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including …

This paper studies the importance of money for inflation in the euro area. An inflation …

economic agents' inflation expectations. Real marginal costs are proxied by three different measures. The results suggest that … OECD inflation forecasts perform relatively well as a proxy for inflation expectations in the euro area, since under this … approach the European inflation process can be modeled using the forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips curve. However …