We show that the stock market price reaction to monetary policy surprises upon announcements of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is explained mostly by changes in the default-free term structure of yields, not by changes in the equity premium. We reach this conclusion based on a new...

This paper analyzes the impact of unemployment news on stock markets throughout the business cycle. We show dependence of the reaction to the economic environment by studying the reaction in multiple economic environments that are defined based on both the level and momentum of economic...

One can earn well over 100% of the equity risk premium on macroeconomic announcement days identified by the prior literature. This is a robust phenomenon present across many other subsets of macroeconomic variables. We show how inadvertent sample selection along with the timing of macroeconomic...