Die Arbeitslosigkeit für die 176 deutschen administrativen Arbeitsmarktregionen (im Allgemeinen Arbeitsagenturbezirke) wird auf einer monatlichen Basis prognostiziert. Wegen ihrer geringen Größe existieren zwischen diesen regionalen Einheiten starke räumliche Interdependenzen. Um diese und...

Das Papier analysiert die Auswirkungen von Signalen über das erreichte Bildungsniveau von (Spät-)Aussiedlern und 'übrigen Deutschen'. Die Analyse beruht auf der Sorting-Theorie mit produktivitätserhöhenden Effekten der Bildung. Aus dieser theoretischen Analyse folgen vier Hypothesen,...

We investigate the regional disparities in high-skilled foreign employment in Germany. The importance of different factors which attract highly qualified migrants to specific regions and the role of labour-migration policy is analysed. Our results show that labour-market variables as well as the...

Two stylised facts of the German labour market are that first, the demand for highskilled labour has been growing rapidly for a number of years and second, the country is facing a particularly strong demographic change with the expected size of the population decreasing rapidly and the average...

In dieser Stellungnahme beleuchtet das IAB die Aussagekraft von Prognosen mit Blick auf einen möglichen, zu erwartenden Fachkräftemangel. Zunächst werden die derzeit verwendeten Prognose- und Simulationsmodelle für den Arbeitsmarkt vorgestellt und deren Aussagekraft im Hinblick auf den...

Two stylised facts of the German labour market are that first, the demand for (high-)skilled labour has been growing rapidly for a number of years and second, the country is facing a particularly strong demographic change with the expected size of the population decreasing rapidly and the...

Based on the factor price frontier, we investigate the effects of supply shocks ort labour markets in open economies. Two different supply shocks are considered: an oil price shock, and the integration of relatively labour-abundant countries into the world economy. With flexible wages, a...

This paper presents a general-equilibrium model of endogenous skilled-biased technological change and matching unemployment in a disaggregated economy. We simultaneously endogenise both the direction and pace of technological change as well as the unemployment rates. We show that an increase in...