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The Holt-Winters Approach to Exponential Smoothing: 50 Years Old and Going Strong

Goodwin, Paul - In: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting (2010) 19, pp. 30-33

Holt-Winters (HW) is the label we frequently give to a set of procedures that form the core of the exponential-smoothing family of forecasting methods. The basic structures were provided by C.C. Holt in 1957 and his student Peter Winters in 1960. Those of you unfamiliar with exponential...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008694315

Decision analysis for management judgment

Goodwin, Paul; Wright, George - 2004 - 3. ed.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004790591

A note on upper bounds for forecast-value-added relative to naïve forecasts

Goodwin, Paul; Petropoulos, Fotios; Hyndman, Rob J. - In: Journal of the Operational Research Society : OR 68 (2017) 9, pp. 1082-1084

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011799306

Feedback-labelling synergies in judgmental stock price forecasting

Goodwin, Paul; Önkal-Atay, Dilek; Thomson, Mary E.; … - In: Decision support systems : DSS ; the international journal 37 (2004) 1, pp. 175

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10006165989

Providing support for decisions based on time series information under conditions of asymmetric loss

Goodwin, Paul - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 163 (2005) 2, pp. 388-402

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10006641704

Aviation Risk Perception: A Comparison Between Experts and Novices

Thomson, Mary E.; Önkal, Dilek; Avcioglu, Ali; … - In: Risk analysis : an international journal 24 (2004) 6, pp. 1585-1596

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10006814310

E DECISIONS AND FORECASTING - Integrating management judgment and statistical methods Eb:000 to improve short-term forecasts

Goodwin, Paul - In: Operations research, Management science : OR MS ; the … 43 (2003) 3, pp. 323-326

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10006506476

Teaching scenario planning: Lessons from practice in academe and business

Wright, George; Cairns, George; Goodwin, Paul - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 194 (2009) 1, pp. 323-335

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008161193

Expectations, use and judgmental adjustment of external financial and economic forecasts: an empirical investigation

Gönül, Sinan; Önkal, Dilek; Goodwin, Paul - In: Journal of forecasting 28 (2009) 1, pp. 19-37

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008171558

Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: Enhancing the scenario method

Wright, George; Goodwin, Paul - In: International journal of forecasting 25 (2009) 4, pp. 813-825

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008324565