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In this research, we examined whether appreciation and depreciation in oil price, interest rate, exchange rate, industrial production, and inflation have the same effects on the stock market returns by using nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (nonlinear ARDL). All nine economic sectors and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959478
This paper considers spot variance path estimation from datasets of intraday high frequency asset prices in the … microstructure noise has an adverse effect on both spot variance estimation and jump detection. In our approach we can analyze high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379469
estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying parameters. We use this method to study the time-varying relationship …
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estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying parameters. We use this method to study the timevarying relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156426
In this paper we discuss univariate and multivariate statistical properties of volatility with the aim of understanding … stock's volatilities and the volatility clustering. Volatility clustering is related to the memory property of the … volatility time-series and therefore to its predictability. Our results show that there exists a relationship between the level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099664
strongest during bad economic times. In line with this evidence, we document that stock volatility predictability is also state …-series volatility models, in this paper we comprehensively examine how volatility forecastability varies across bull and bear states of … the stock market. We find that the volatility forecast horizon is substantially longer when the market is in a bear state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888804
Modeling and forecasting volatility of capital markets has been important area of inquiry and research in financial … economics with the recognition of time-varying volatility, volatility clusturing, and asymmetric response of volatility to … investment in Nepalese stock market, it is important to understand the pattern of stock market volatility. In the paper, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940660