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. The results suggest that equity markets' volatility tends to be very high based on a high degree of policy uncertainty … examines the equity, commodity, interest rates, and currency markets, taking into consideration the US economic policy … uncertainty (EPU) index. The present work determines the association among policy uncertainty and volatility index, expressed in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271841
The benefits of using flight-to-safety (FTS) in volatility forecasting are assessed within a multivariate GARCH … framework. In particular, we propose realized semi-covariance between falling equity and rising safe haven returns as a proxy of … market, US bond and gold market data shows that the FTS measure is a statistically significant predictor of future equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916710
This study examines the link between stocks and decentralized finance (DeFi) in terms of returns and volatility. Major … volatility spillover analysis proves a contagion effect occurred between different geographic markets, and even between markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015361554
This paper studies the dynamic change of volatility spillovers between several major international financial markets … during the global COVID-19 pandemic using Diebold and Yilmaz's connectedness index. We found that the total volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828891
This paper investigates the empirical properties of oil price and Stock market return volatilities using a range of univariate and multivariate GARCH models and monthly data from the U.S. The study relates the period August 1987 to October 2016, a total of 351 observations given. The aim of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977192
volatility índices (namely the originally created RTSVX and the new RVI that has replaced it), using daily data over the period … assumed to follow a white noise or autocorrelated process, it is confirmed by the rolling window estimation, and it holds for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903723
The price of equity equals the risk-adjusted present discounted value of cash-flows. Discount factors depend upon the … short rate process. As such, a link exists between bond and equity returns. This link implies a relationship between … volatilities and the stock-bond correlation. I show that the stock-bond correlation increases in interest rate volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917061
returns exhibit conditional heavy tails even after volatility clustering effect has been accounted for; and ii) the NRIG …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950335
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649372
The paper provides an introductory guide for active managers that illustrates econometric techniques for alpha generation in active asset management. For modelling stock market returns three different model types are discussed: (i) fair value models that identify over- and undervaluations, (ii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292558