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measuring the contemporaneous correlation between the return shock and the volatility shock. We show that the contemporaneous … the proposed model are analyzed. The estimation of the model with the SP500 excess return series lends a mild support for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133961
volatility index (VIX) via a nonparametric copula method. Specifically, we propose a conditional dependence index to investigate … that the nonparametric leverage effect is much stronger than the nonparametric volatility feedback effect, although, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011857010
contribution to overall realized variation and their contribution to predictive regressions of realized volatility. We find … individual stocks. -- Itô semi-martingale ; realized volatility ; jumps ; quadratic volatility ; multipower variation ; tripower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151972
's dynamic properties may lead to misestimation of the intraday spot volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411344
This study aims at comparing Google Search Volume Indices (GSVIs—including market crash and bear market) and VIX (Investor Fear Gauge Index) in terms of explaining the S&P 500 returns. The VIX is found a more robust predictor of stock market returns than Google indices, and it does granger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011886968
volatility in Group of 20 countries using various methods, including panel regression with fixed effects, panel quantile … and negative investor sentiments and stock market returns and volatility. Specifically, an increase in positive investor …. The effect of investor sentiment on volatility is consistent across the distribution: negative sentiment increases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272311
We employ a wavelet approach and conduct a time-frequency analysis of dynamic correlations between pairs of key traded assets (gold, oil, and stocks) covering the period from 1987 to 2012. The analysis is performed on both intra-day and daily data. We show that heterogeneity in correlations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515402
This paper introduces a multivariate kernel based forecasting tool for the prediction of variance-covariance matrices of stock returns. The method introduced allows for the incorporation of macroeconomic variables into the forecasting process of the matrix without resorting to a decomposition of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011823257
We study volatility spillovers among commodity and equity markets by employing a recently developed approach based on …-autoregressions. This enables us to measure total, directional and net volatility spillovers as well as the asymmetry of responses to … global financial crisis of 2008. Our empirical analysis reveals that on average, the volatility shocks related to other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011914776
recent DCC-NL model of Engle et al. (2019) is able to overcome this curse via nonlinear shrinkage estimation of the … but also of dynamic correlations, is the concept of a regularized return, obtained from a volatility proxy in conjunction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584099