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recent DCC-NL model of Engle et al. (2019) is able to overcome this curse via nonlinear shrinkage estimation of the … but also of dynamic correlations, is the concept of a regularized return, obtained from a volatility proxy in conjunction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040932
. (2019) is able to overcome this curse via nonlinear shrinkage estimation of the unconditional correlation matrix. In this … covariances, is the concept of a regularized return, obtained from a volatility proxy in conjunction with a smoothed sign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012253083
The main aim of this paper is to investigate volatility spillover effects, the impact of past volatility on present … emerging stock markets capture the volatility patterns of developed stock markets located in the same region. The empirical … volatility clustering, interdependence, correlations, financial integration and leptokurtosis. Symmetric and asymmetric GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012505328
volatility of Nigeria and Kenya stock returns react to market shock faster than as other countries do. The results also suggest … dummy on two innovation assumptions using daily all share index of Nigeria, Kenya, United States, Germany, South Africa and … volatility reaction to market shocks and volatility persistence alongside the asymmetric properties. The results reveal that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460578
This study explores the benefits of incorporating fat-tailed innovations, asymmetric volatility response, and an … extended information set into crude oil return modeling and forecasting. To this end, we utilize standard volatility models … Stochastic Volatility (SV), along with Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) regressions, which enable us to incorporate the impacts of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014252427
It is well known that intraday volatilities and trading volumes exhibit strong seasonal features. These seasonalities are usually modeled using dummy variables or deterministic functions. Here, we propose a test for seasonal long memory with a known frequency. Using this test, we show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011673153
first is the symmetric Generalized ARCH (1,1) model. However, previous studies found that volatility tends to increase more … higher seasonality in volatility rather on average returns. For this reason the Periodic-GARCH (1,1) is estimated. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509192
allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a … provide a statistical approach to estimate the volatility of these factors. The efficacy of this approach relative to the use … of models based on squared returns is demonstrated for forecasts of the market volatility and a portfolio allocation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860248
, notably in the case of the world equity risk premium. Finally, long-run risks are detected in all asset portfolios including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012486245
Sellers of variance swaps earn time-varying risk premia for their exposure to realized variance, the level of variance swap rates, and the slope of the variance swap curve. To measure risk premia, we estimate a dynamic term structure model that decomposes variance swap rates into expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523781