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We study the recent Crimean Crisis and the sequence of outcomes that led to the intervention by the Russian Army, which directly affected equity prices in Russia, to investigate how informed traders may have used their advantage to trade prior to the moment markets fell. We compute the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935657
We have seen China's growing role in the past decades, and the world economy has become more exposed to the influence of China. This paper explores emerging China's impact on the global equity market through the lens of asset pricing. We study the predictive properties of the lagged China...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824300
Warren Buffett suggested that the ratio of the market value of all publicly traded stocks to the Gross National Product could identify potential overvaluations and undervaluations in the US equity market. We investigate whether this ratio is a statistically significant predictor of equity market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971424
This paper outlines a method to forecast FX spot rates. The data set consists of the Bloomberg FX spot rates for … returns in all three FX spot rates. The use of an out-sample to test the applicability of the AR(1) forecast supplements the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859939
) we show in a practical manner that models converge to the same results based on real data of analysts forecast consensus …
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The efficient market hypothesis describes an efficient market as one in which investors cannot consistently predict stock returns because prices instantly reflect all the information flowing into the market. However, return predictability has been documented in many markets. This study tests the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179575
This paper studies whether investor sentiment can predict future Mexican stock market returns. Furthermore, we examine the dynamic correlation between sentiment and returns. Lastly, we examine whether sentiment innovations influence unexpected returns. We find that sentiment has significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948714