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Companies face significant carbon-transition risk as the global economy works to combat climate change. This paper studies the market-based premium associated with the carbon-transition risk globally and finds that firms with more carbon-intense business models earn higher returns in recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403934
We investigate whether value-relevant foreign information only gradually dilutes into stock prices of multinational firms worldwide. Using an international sample of firms from 22 developed countries, we find that a portfolio strategy based on firms' foreign sales information yields future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011344380
This paper attempts to find an aggregate leading indicator to predict the spreads observed for high-yield (HY) bond indices. Using a vector error correction (VEC) specification for quarterly data, we establish a long-term equilibrium relationship between the HY market spreads and its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009707628
einer naiven Random Walk Prognose. Auch die Verwendung des Terminkurses als Prognose für die zukünftige … dar, von der sie sich bei der Erstellung der Prognose nicht lösen können. Zum anderen erfolgt die Anpassung der Prognose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498979
Based on the theory of static replication of variance swaps we assess the sign and magnitude of variance risk premiums in foreign exchange markets. We find significantly negative risk premiums when realized variance is computed from intraday data with low frequency. As a likely consequence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410031
This paper investigates the variance risk premium in an international setting. First, I provide new evidence on the basic stylized facts traditionally documented for the US. I show that while the variance premiums in several countries are, on average, positive and display significant time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128804
inflation, we extract the Nelson-Siegel (1987) factors of relative level, slope, and curvature from cross-country yield …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134797
very challenging, if not impossible. In this paper, we apply a battery of linear and nonlinear models to forecast the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138023
We investigate the stock market crashes in China, Iceland, and the US in the 2007-2009 period. The bond stock earnings yield difference model is used as a prediction tool. Historically, when the measure is too high, meaning that long bond interest rates are too high relative to the trailing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114443
-rich forecast methodology to handle a large set of potential predictors in a Bayesian Model Averaging approach, and, second, we take …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115338