This paper proposes a theory of the fiscal foundations of inflation based on imperfect knowledge and learning. The theory is similar in spirit to, but distinct from, unpleasant monetarist arithmetic and the fiscal theory of the price level. Because the assumption of imperfect knowledge breaks...

Die Staatsschuldenkrise im Euroraum kann kurzfristig nicht gelöst werden: Die finanzielle Unterstützung für die Schuldnerstaaten reicht nicht aus, deren Austeritätsprogramme wirken zu restriktiv und die Mitgliedsländer sind nicht bereit, auf Fiskalkompetenz zu verzichten. Die Autoren...

Fiscal rules are being increasingly used by both emerging and developed economies. This paper analyzes two alternative fiscal policy rules in terms of their impact on debt sustainability: a rule that fixes the ratio of primary surplus to GDP (quot;fixed surplus rulequot;) and one that sets the...

The determinants of public debt dynamics - real interest rates, the real exchange rate, output growth and the primary fiscal balance - are typically more volatile in emerging market economies than in industrialised countries. Capital markets also typically demand higher interest rates from...

Fiscal rules are being increasingly used by both emerging and developed economies. This paper analyzes two alternative fiscal policy rules in terms of their impact on debt sustainability: a rule that fixes the ratio of primary surplus to GDP (""fixed surplus rule"") and one that sets the primary...