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The presence of time series momentum effect has been widely documented in the financial markets across asset classes and countries. We find a predictable pattern of the realized semi-variance to the future individual asset return, especially during the stressed states of time series momentum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836027
Commonality in idiosyncratic volatility cannot be completely explained by time-varying volatility. We decompose the … common factor in idiosyncratic volatility (CIV) of Herskovic et al. (2016) into two components: idiosyncratic volatility … innovations (VIN) and time-varyingidiosyncratic volatility (TVV). VIN is priced in the cross section of stock returns, whereas TVV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902994
We investigate the impact of China's economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the time series variation of Chinese stock market expected returns. Using the news based measure in Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016), we find that EPU predicts negatively future stock market return at various horizons. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968808
remains a question. Using a simple model to illustrate the linkage between idiosyncratic volatility and investor overreaction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012436
volatility, but remains similar across levels of default risk and systematic volatility. These findings contribute to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852955
The risk premium of stocks due to priced variance risk is summarized to two variables -- the stock-specific price of variance risk (the difference between realized and option-implied variance) and the quantity (i.e., how stock prices respond to their variance shocks) of variance risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855216
volatility. This empirical phenomenon is shown to arise within a tractable accounting-based valuation model that allows for risk … aversion and stochastic earnings volatility. The model predicts that expected stock (stock return volatility) returns are … to explain price dynamics across stock and volatility markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855869
and volatility in a Kenya's fledgling equity market – the Nairobi Securities Exchange. Both the GARCH-in-mean and E … conditional volatility are highly persistent. Our results also indicate that conditional variance is driven more by the past … conditional variance than it is driven by new disturbances. Finally, we find evidence of volatility clustering in the stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044427
The objective of this article is to investigate the volatility asymmetry, volatility-volume relationship by considering …-GARCH models to examine the volatility pattern in the stock market. Second, both contemporaneous and lagged trading volumes are … augmented in the volatility model to empirically verify the validity of Mixture of Distribution Hypothesis (MDH) and Sequential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078205
intensively utilized the textual analysis of news and other firm-related documents in volatility prediction models. It has been … studies to date have tended to focus on linear regression methods in predicting volatility. Here, we show that non … improves the prediction accuracy of abnormal stock return volatility. The fact that the length of news articles is more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011881761