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Conditional value at risk (CoVaR) and marginal expected shortfall (MES) have been proposed as measures of systemic risk. Some argue these statistics should be used to impose a “systemic risk tax” on financial institutions. These recommendations are premature because CoVaR and MES are ad hoc...
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Systemic risk analysis has become a very important undertaking in most central banks after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). This paper describes the Colombian credit system of banks and firms as a bipartite network of lenders and borrowers. To such network, we apply a spectral method to...
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A macro-prudential policy maker can manage risks to financial stability only if currentand future risks can be reliably assessed. We propose a novel framework to assessfinancial system risk. Using a dynamic factor framework based on state-space methods, we model latent macro-financial and credit...
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This paper extends traditional payment system simulation analysis to counterparty liquidity risk exposures. The used stress test scenario corresponds to the counterparty stress scenario applied in the BCBS standard "Monitoring tools for intraday liquidity management" (BIS, 2013). This stress...
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We introduce a novel simulation-based network approach, which provides full-edged distributions of potential interbank losses. Based on those distributions we propose measures for (i) systemic importance of single banks, (ii) vulnerability of single banks, and (iii) vulnerability of the whole...
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