the empirical findings, we make the study of estimating and forecasting mortality rates based on a semi …Mortality is different across countries, states and regions. Several empirical research works however reveal that … mortality trends exhibit a common pattern and show similar structures across populations. The key element in analyzing mortality …

general state-space modelling methodology, which allows modelling, estimation and forecasting of mortality under a unified … mortality models. The framework we adopt is to reinterpret popular mortality models such as the Lee-Carter class of models in a … inference. We then develop a novel class of Bayesian state-space models which incorporate apriori beliefs about the mortality …