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We analyze the relationship between economic uncertainty and commodity market volatility. We find that commodity market … volatility comoves strongly with economic and financial uncertainty, especially during recessions. Variables associated with … commodity market volatility. The documented predictability is mainly observed in the period after the financialization of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866910
We present a stochastic-local volatility model for derivative contracts on commodity futures able to describe forward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851488
Utilising a comprehensive sample of U.S. and Chinese macroeconomic news announcements, we determine that volatility in … prices (PPI). Much of this effect appears to be driven by volatility in the Energy markets. During the 2007-09 crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854925
In this study, we comprehensively examine the volatility term structures in commodity markets. We model state …-dependent spillovers in principal components (PCs) of the volatility term structures of different commodities, as well as that of the … equity market. We detect strong economic links and a substantial interconnectedness of the volatility term structures of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858896
We study momentum and mean-reversion strategies in commodity futures prices and their relationship to momentum and mean-reversion in commodity spot prices. We find that momentum performs well in futures markets, but not in spot markets, and that mean-reversion performs well in spot markets, but...
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The large inflow of investment capital to commodity futures markets in the past decade has generated a heated debate about whether financialization distorts commodity prices. Rather than focusing on the opposing views concerning whether investment flows caused a price bubble, we critically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043526
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