This study develops a new economic uncertainty (EU) index based on Chinese newspapers by addressing the media coverage bias of existing measures. The developed index refines the existing methods on measuring uncertainty by taking special characteristics of China into consideration, which turns...

We apply functional data analysis to survey expectations data, and show that functional principal component analysis combined with functional regression analysis is a fruitful way of capturing the effects of others' forecasts on a respondent's inflation forecasts. We estimate forward-looking...

We employ the indicator saturation approach on electricity price series from the National Electricity Market (NEM) in Australia to simultaneously model the stylised facts of electricity prices, including extreme spikes, seasonality, level-shifts, and autocorrelation. Standard modelling methods...

In spite of high trade openness, existing empirical work, using daily data, has not found any evidence of international financial integration of China. In this paper we examine to what extent the Chinese A-share market, de jure protected from foreign influences by capital controls, is actually...

This paper uses Markov-switching techniques to examine the presence of different market conditions on the Shanghai A-share market since the start of active trading in the mid-1990s. The originality of the paper lies in the identification of three contrasting regimes: a speculative market, a bull...

We propose a sequential monitoring scheme to find structural breaks in real estate markets. The changes in the real estate prices are modeled by a combination of linear and autoregressive terms. The monitoring scheme is based on a detector and a suitably chosen boundary function. If the...