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This paper compares and contrasts two accounting information systems, the aggregate earnings system and the disaggregated cash flow/accrual system, examining their relative performance in stock valuation and in forecasting of earnings. It finds, in general, that the forecasts of earnings and...
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Prior studies attribute analysts' forecast superiority over time-series forecasting models to their access to a large set of firm, industry, and macroeconomic information (an information advantage), which they use to update their forecasts on a daily, weekly or monthly basis (a timing...
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Over the past 12 years, financial analysts across the world have been optimistically wrong with their 12-month earnings …
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methods to control for outliers and to an alternative estimation period. We also find that the spillover effect on forecast …
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