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extreme value theory. The out-of-sample forecasting performance of our methods turns out to be clearly superior to different … management ; extreme value theory ; monotonization ; CAViaR …
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This paper considers Bayesian regression with normal and doubleexponential priors as forecasting methods based on large panels of time series. We show that, empirically, these forecasts are highly correlated with principal component forecasts and that they perform equally well for a wide range...
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