Criminal justice expenditures have more than doubled since the 1980s, dramatically increasing costs to the public. With state and local revenue shortfalls resulting from the recent recession, the question of whether crime control can be accomplished either with fewer resources or by investing...

The evidence base for the study of guns and violence begins with data on such fundamental issues as the number and distribution of guns, the number of people shot each year in criminal assaults, and the frequency of gun use in self-defense. It seems that these simple descriptive statistics...

Frontmatter -- Contents -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- 1. Write What You Know -- 2. Why Seemingly Trivial Random Events Matter -- 3. How Winner-Take-All Markets Magnify Luck's Role -- 4. Why the Biggest Winners Are Almost Always Lucky -- 5. Why False Beliefs about Luck and Talent Persist -- 6....