Premised upon taxable income the regressive Value Added Tax or Goods and Services Tax through VAT/GST Tax Returns would become progressive in nature with a CPI adjusted cost of living allowance tax credit or rebate that solves the purchasing power of income index and the Fisher Equation allows...

For over a decade of practicing inflation targeting (IT) strategy, inflation has remained high and persistent while economic growth momentum has boosted in Ghana. This paper investigates the relative macroeconomic benefits of the IT strategy in Ghana based on business cycle fluctuations and...

Many explanations for the decline in real interest rates over the last 30 years point to the role that population aging or rising income inequality plays in increasing the long-run aggregate demand for assets. Notwithstanding the importance of such factors, the starting point of this paper is to...

Since the 2001 recession, average core inflation has been below the Federal Reserve's 2% target. This deflationary bias is a predictable consequence of a low nominal interest rates environment. When monetary policy faces the risk of encountering the zero lower bound, in.ation tends to remain...

We analyse the effectiveness of optimal simple and implementable monetary and fiscal policy rules in stabilising economic activity, inflation and government debt in face of an occasionally binding lower bound on the nominal interest rate in a New Keynesian model. We show that, within the...

This paper investigates how institutional constraints discipline the behavior of discretionary governments subject to an expenditure bias. The focus is on constraints implemented in actual economies: monetary policy targets, limits on the deficit and debt ceilings. For a variety of aggregate...

Why are we seeing inflation? The government dropped about $5 trillion in people's bank accounts, a classic fiscal helicopter drop. Why did this one produce inflation? People do not believe this debt will be repaid. Will inflation continue? Whether we see a one-time price-level increase or...

Using a model where a cash-in-advance constraint is imposed on both consumption and investment and the central bank is compelled to finance a fiscal deficit through money creation, this paper shows that there are two or three steady states. If two steady states exist, a high-inflation trap can...

This study analyses the aspect of inflation expectations management in the context of inflation targeting by particularly focusing on the impact of exchange rate pass-through to inflation expectations in a small open economy. We also augment the inflation expectations function with GDP,...

Routine publication of the forecast path for the policy interest rate (i.e. 'conventional forward guidance') would improve the transparency of monetary policy. It would also improve policy effectiveness through its influence on expectations, particularly when there is a risk of low inflation,...