Choi, Hankyeung; Leatham, David J.; Sukcharoen, Kunlapath - In: Contemporary economics 9 (2015) 1, pp. 29-44
) for modeling and forecasting daily OPEC crude oil spot prices is evaluated. Based on the results of a structural break … forecasting performance, the forecasting models based on crack spread futures and the ETF crack spread outperform the Random Walk … crack spread market contributes more to the forecasting models than information from the crack spread futures market. …