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supply shocks have little effect on the ICS, other oil demand shocks such as a precautionary demand shock, for example, have ….S. households' expectations about current and future economic conditions - responds to structural oil supply and demand shocks. We … a statistically significant negative impact over a two-year horizon. The effect of aggregate demand shocks associated …
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and demand. Supply disruptions turn out to be a bigger factor in historical oil price movements and inventory accumulation … a significant lag, whereas shocks to oil demand do not. …
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Recently, Baumeister and Hamilton (henceforth: BH) have argued that existing studies of the global oil market fail to account for uncertainty about their identifying assumptions. They recommend an alternative econometric approach intended to address this concern by formulating priors on the...
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oil demand innovations have on financial volatility. We show that stock market volatility does not respond to oil supply … shocks. On the contrary, demand shocks impact significantly on the variability of the G7 stock markets. …
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