Busts after periods of prolonged prosperity have been found to be catastrophic. Financial institutions increase their leverage and shift their portfolios towards projects that were previously considered too risky. This results from institutions rationally updating their expectations and becoming...

This paper assesses the choice of different regulatory policy instruments for crisis management and prevention. We show that Capital and Liquidity Requirements (as Basel III proposes) are not sufficient to ensure Financial Stability. Three different tools are required to address three different...

This paper assesses the role that monetary policy plays in the decision to default using a General Equilibrium model with collateralized loans, trade in fiat money and production. Longterm nominal loans are backed by collateral, the value of which depends on monetary policy. The decision to...

This paper proposes a metric for a financial fragility index for the Chinese banking sector. This metric is a weighted average of two variables: bank profitability and multiple probability of undercapitalization. The weights of the two variables are assigned based on their effects on real...

This paper proposes a metric for a financial fragility index for the Chinese banking sector. This metric is a weighted average of two variables: bank profitability and multiple probability of undercapitalization. The weights of the two variables are assigned based on their effects on real...

A sizeable proportion of enterprises, especially SMEs, assisted by the government, will fail to repay. Should a screening mechanism then be applied to deter those most likely to default from seeking such financial assistance? The answer depends on the relative weights attached to the competitive...