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paper develops a tractable dynamic general equilibrium model. In the model, firms face idiosyncratic productivity risks, and … depresses total factor productivity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048943
productivity (TFP) in the nexus of the financial and real sectors. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219582
We explore the implications of shocks to expected future productivity in a setting with limited enforcement of … response to positive news about future productivity, as well as the other properties of an expectation driven business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003833848
I review the literature on financial speculation driven by belief disagreements from a macroeconomics perspective. To highlight unifying themes, I develop a stylized macroeconomic model that embeds several mechanisms. With short-selling constraints, speculation can generate overvaluation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238441
models suggest that a shortfall in productivity-enhancing investments temporarily slows technological progress, creating a …-level exposure to the 2008-9 financial crisis, I show that tight credit reduced investments in productivity-enhancement, and has … 12% higher today if productivity-enhancing investments had grown at pre-crisis rates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011573282
We present an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of stock market bubbles and business cycles using Bayesian methods. Bubbles emerge through a positive feedback loop mechanism supported by self-fulfilling beliefs. We identify a sentiment shock that drives the movements of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011757753
We explore the implications of shocks to expected future productivity in a setting with limited enforcement of … response to positive news about future productivity, as well as the other properties of an expectation driven business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320759
disturbances, generating large endogenous movements in total factor productivity, explaining why productivity often falls during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034334
is highly disaggregated at the industry level with an input-output network structure. Measured productivity in the model …-specific, uncorrelated across industries. The bulk of the aggregate fluctuations, including those in aggregate measured productivity, are … data. Our second finding is that about half of the decrease in the cyclicality of measured productivity in the U.S. after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415920
We characterize the dispersion of firm-level productivity and demand shocks using Swedish microdata including prices … TFPQ dispersion in recessions. Productivity shocks pass through incompletely to prices and have limited effect on sales … facts, demand dispersion has unambiguously negative effects on output via a "wait and see" channel. Productivity dispersion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256973