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maximum borrowing limit, and housing investment, homeownership, and household debt closely track aggregate productivity. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280939
In the U.S., over 1873-2014, an increase in bank credit is associated with a lower risk of a financial crisis in the near future. Bank credit expansion predicts lower excess returns and volatility for the aggregate stock market, and this predictive relation varies in the cross-section and is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002941
This paper demonstrates that credit reporting -- banks observing households' default histories -- can cause slow recoveries of housing prices and employment from mortgage crises. Comparing credit cycles with and without credit reporting and capturing the impact of mortgage default on employment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033400
Much of the macroeconomics literature dealing with wealth distribution has abstracted from modeling housing explicitly. This paper investigates the properties of the wealth distribution and the portfolio composition regarding housing and equity holdings and their relationship to macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003258656
Labor productivity (LP) in the United States has gone from being procyclical to acyclical since the mid-1980s. Using … industry-level data, this paper first shows that total factor productivity (TFP), which is LP net of capital deepening, has … reasons for the change in the cyclicality of productivity. By decomposing TFP into technical change and input utilization, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490366
Capital reallocation between firms is procyclical and leads to variations in measured aggregate productivity. In this … paper, we ask how much of the cyclical variation in measured productivity is the consequence of capital reallocation. We … build a heterogeneous-firm model to study the effects of exogenous shocks to total factor productivity (TFP) and to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496527
these endogenous productivity fluctuations. The result focuses on the short-run absence of entry and incumbents' output … response given this quasi-fixity. Quantitatively we show the endogenous productivity effect is as large as a traditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011758936
We develop a theory linking "misallocation," i.e., dispersion in marginal products of capital (MPK), to macroeconomic … productivity by as much as 6%, suggesting large "productivity costs" of business cycles. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012395487
Counter to the credit channel of monetary transmission, monetary policy tightening induces a rise in lending by two different types of non-bank financial institutions (NBFI): shadow banks and investment funds. A monetary DSGE model is able to replicate the empirical facts when augmented with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011550453
We develop an asset pricing model with external habit formation. The model predicts that the effect of consumption shocks on the equity premium depends on the business cycle. We test this empirical implication using a VAR model of the U.S. postwar economy whose parameters are estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109086