There is a weak correlation between economic fundamentals and asset returns and disagreement about future asset prices is not spanned by disagreement about economic fundamentals. Both facts are inconsistent with leading asset pricing models. To address these puzzles, we develop an overlapping...

We introduce a reduced-form term structure model with closed-form solutions for yields where the short rate and market prices of risk are nonlinear functions of Gaussian state variables. The nonlinear model with three factors matches the time-variation in expected excess returns and yield...

We study an equilibrium model with disagreement about the likelihood of successful innovations. We show that disagreement stimulates aggregate economic growth and overcomes market failures that would otherwise occur in an equilibrium without disagreement. The higher growth with disagreement...

In periods of global stress there are large movements in exchange rates and assets prices. Currencies of developed economies appreciate, with the US dollar appreciating the most. Global stock markets fall, but the fall is smaller for the US market than other markets. Richer countries have...

This study shows that relative price dispersion impacts risk premia. Notably, firms associated with goods and services that have increased (decreased) in price relative to the headline inflation rate earn high (low) returns. We refer to this return spread of 0.71% per month as the relative price...