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-GARCH(1,1), CAViaR and historical simulation models in periods with contrasting volatility trends (increasing, constantly high … volatility trend. However, GARCH-st (1,1) and QML-GARCH(1,1) were found to be the most robust models in the different volatility … periods. The results show as well that the CAViaR model forecasts were less appropriate in the increasing volatility period …
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With the use of empirical data, this paper focuses on solving financial and investment issues involving extremal dependence of 10 pairwise combinations of the 5 BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) stock markets. Daily closing equity indices from 5 January 2010 to 6 August 2018...
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Heavy tails and volatility clusters are both stylized facts of financial returns that destabilize markets. The former … diversification, and how an acknowledgment of volatility clustering can enhance the quality of risk models. The analysis is carried … risk historically received more attention, especially in financial regulation, our analysis shows that volatility clusters …
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forecasting the daily volatility of Bulgarian investment funds, which will support the investment community in making adequate ….1) are adapted to predict the volatility of investment funds. The current development focuses on forecasting the risk … group. The object of the study includes quantitative analysis, estimation and forecasting of daily volatility through the …
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Seit der zweiten Hälfte der 90er Jahre schreitet die Liberalisierung der europäischen Elektrizitätsmärkte voran. Damit einher geht die Gründung von Handelsplattformen für Elektrizität, an denen überwiegend Erzeuger und Händler agieren. Die Liberalisierung führt einerseits zu...
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