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the leading shock candidates can explain fluctuations in output and hours. It concludes that we are much closer to …
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vector autoregressive (GVAR) specification with drifting coefficients and factor stochastic volatility in the errors to model …
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estimating trivariate hybrid time-varying parameter Bayesian VAR models with stochastic volatility for the three-month Treasury …
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This paper adumbrates a theory of what might be going wrong in the monetary SVAR literature and provides supporting … empirical evidence. The theory is that macroeconomists may be attempting to identify structural forms that do not exist, given …
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the pre-1980 period. Measuring expectations of future monetary policy rates conditional on a news shock suggests that the …
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In this paper a new instrument for monetary policy shocks is presented. Exogenous variation of the policy rate may come from frictions of collective decision-making. Dissenting votes indicate how far the final decision of the decision making body is from the mean of the members' individually...
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