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We estimate a DSGE model where rare large shocks can occur, but replace the commonly used Gaussian assumption with a … allow for low-frequency variation in the volatility of the shocks, and 2) the estimated degrees of freedom are quite low for … exclude the Great Recession from the sample. We also show that inference about low-frequency changes in volatility - and, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010219714
We propose a novel method to estimate dynamic equilibrium models with stochastic volatility. First, we characterize the … exploits the profusion of shocks in stochastic volatility models, is versatile and computationally tractable even in large … methods to estimate a business cycle model of the U.S. economy with both stochastic volatility and parameter drifting in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082016
general equilibrium (DSGE) model. We provide full-information Bayesian estimation of the DSGE model using macroeconomic … variables and extract the time-series of four latent fundamental shocks of the model: neutral technology shock, investment …-specific technological shock, monetary policy shock, and risk shock. Asset pricing tests show that our model-implied four-factor model can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933804
subsequent recovery in the US. The Great Recession was mainly caused by a large demand shock and by the ZLB on the interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434680
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012433732
Using a panel of survey‐based measures of future interest rates from the Survey of Professional Forecasters, we study the dynamic relationship between shocks to monetary policy expectations and fluctuations in economic activity and inflation. We propose a smallscale structured recursive vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971223
Using a panel of survey-based measures of future interest rates from the Survey of Professional Forecasters, we study the dynamic relationship between shocks to monetary policy expectations and fluctuations in economic activity and inflation. We propose a small-scale structured recursive vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023060
-economy DSGE model with monetary and fiscal policy as well as financial markets in a continuous-time framework based on stochastic … country where the financial shock originates is no longer as easy and, in terms of prices, there is now deflation in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010419528