Recent field evidence suggests a positive link between overconfidence and innovative activities. In this paper we argue … that the connection between overconfidence and innovation is more complex than the previous literature suggests. In … particular, we show theoretically and experimentally that different forms of overconfidence may have opposing effects on …

In this paper, we design an investment game which allows us to study the influence of selection when learning from …

We examine consumer certainty of future preferences and overconfidence in predicting future preferences. We explore how … preference certainty and overconfidence impact the option value to revise today's decisions in the future. We design a laboratory … overconfidence in predicting future preferences as: the difference between actual accuracy at predicting future choices and stated …

models of social learning to investigate the micro-level mechanisms. We find that overconfidence and conservatism contribute …We investigate how the selection process of a leader affects team performance with respect to social learning. We use a …

I investigate whether two mechanisms leading to biased beliefs about success, overconfidence and competition neglect … distributions related to absolute as well as relative overconfidence to study it comprehensively and introduce two treatment … variations: First, some participants receive detailed performance feedback addressing absolute and relative overconfidence before …