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panel data econometric estimators, this article examines the issue of fiscal sustainability for a group of 10 Caribbean … countries over the period 1991-2017. The evidence from panel co-integration models of government revenue and expenditure shows … that past fiscal behavior is “weakly” sustainable. The “weak sustainability” finding is reinforced by evidence from an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012028426
Modern Money Theory (MMT) economists have used Japan as an example of a country that demonstrates that high deficits and debt do not lead to insolvency, high interest rates, or inflation. MMT insists that governments that issue their own sovereign currency cannot be forced into insolvency, that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610213
Modern Money Theory (MMT) economists have used Japan as an example of a country that demonstrates that high deficits and debt do not lead to insolvency, high interest rates, or inflation. MMT insists that governments that issue their own sovereign currency cannot be forced into insolvency, that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012432238
We present a model in which a conservative incumbent with preferences for low public spending can strategically run a budget deficit to prevent the left-wing opposition candidate from choosing high public spending if elected, and possibly also to ensure his own reelection. We find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010903406
Governments are expected to be a stabilizing force when the economy is in trouble, but recently they are a source of chaos. The cause behind the sovereign debt crisis is debt that far exceeds a government’s ability to repay. Why do governments of debt-ridden countries lose the sense of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011143926
We study the sustainability of sovereign debt accumulation in 15 OECD countries using quarterly data from 1980 to 2010 … with a focus on how and in what countries debt sustainability changed after the commencement of the Euro Convergence … Criteria in 1997 as well as after the financial meltdown in 2007. We define sustainability as the validity of the inter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009746993
The aim of the study is to assess fiscal sustainability in the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland and to test for … conducted using unit root tests and cointegration analysis with possible structural breaks. The approach is consistent with so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012232263
We assess the sustainability of public finances in OECD countries, over the period 1970-2010, using unit root and … cointegration analysis, both country and panel based, controlling for endogenous breaks. Results notably show: lack of cointegration … – absence of sustainability – between government revenues and expenditures for most countries (except for Austria, Canada …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102099
cointegration model reveal that the public domestic debt in Egypt has a robust negative impact on growth. The sustainability of debt … fears are being express about the debt sustainability. Utilizing data for the period 1981-2006, the results obtained from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017852
We assess the sustainability of public finances in OECD countries, over the period 1970-2010, using unit root and … cointegration analysis, both country and panel based, controlling for endogenous breaks. Results notably show: lack of cointegration … – absence of sustainability – between government revenues and expenditures for most countries (except for Austria, Canada …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014163448