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We assess the sustainability of public finances in OECD countries, over the period 1970-2010, using unit root and … cointegration analysis, both country and panel based, controlling for endogenous breaks. Results notably show: lack of cointegration … – absence of sustainability – between government revenues and expenditures for most countries (except for Austria, Canada …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014163448
sustainability of U.S. federal fiscal policy. The present-value borrowing constraint, which states that, for the fiscal policy to be … analysing fiscal sustainability. Incorporating rational expectations we extend the methodology developed by Hamilton and Flavin … (1986) to test the sustainability hypothesis in a cointegrating framework that can accommodate both stationary and non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005749177
The aim of the study is to assess fiscal sustainability in the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland and to test for … conducted using unit root tests and cointegration analysis with possible structural breaks. The approach is consistent with so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166175
analysis, we conduct formal tests on fiscal sustainability, including tests on stationarity and cointegration and the … debt crisis has prompted a fundamental re-evaluation of public debt sustainability and the looming threat of sovereign debt …'s peacetime debt-to-GDP (Gross Domestic Product) ratio has never been higher. In this paper, we analyse the sustainability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291882
With this paper, our objective is to empirically study public debt sustainability by estimating a fiscal reaction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014565894
correlates well with the economic property of sustainability of the budget deficit. The univariate unit root tests indicated a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610927
We study the sustainability of sovereign debt accumulation in 15 OECD countries using quarterly data from 1980 to 2010 … with a focus on how and in what countries debt sustainability changed after the commencement of the Euro Convergence … Criteria in 1997 as well as after the financial meltdown in 2007. We define sustainability as the validity of the inter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460534
without compromising financial stability and fiscal sustainability on long term, on the other hand, governments must undertake …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283913
Global oil prices have subsided relative to the peak reached in mid-2008, but compared to historical levels they remain elevated and volatile as economic uncertainties continue to unfold. The likelihood of these prices rising again soon cannot be ruled out. High oil prices can adversely affect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832198
The rapidly growing federal government debt has become a concern for policy makers and the public. Yet the U.S. government has seemingly unbounded access to credit at low interest rates. Historically, Treasury yields have been below the growth rate of the economy. The paper examines the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974641