Eine geraffte Einführung in die wichtigsten Begriffe und Methoden der beschreibenden und schliessenden Statistik für Studierende sozial- und verhaltenswissenschaftlicher Fächer, die so weit wie irgend möglich mathematische Formalismen meidet. Rezension (ekz): Unter den vielen Titeln, die...

This paper develops a simple framework to analyze the links between corruption and the unofficial economy and their implications for the official economy. In a model of self-selection with heterogeneous entrepreneurs, we show that the entrepreneurs' option to flee to the underground economy...

It is routine to demonstrate in the exchange economy framework that small changes of individual preferences and endowments always result in small changes of the derived excess demand functions as one should expect. Though being as desirable for reasons of the consistency of the whole approach,...

We quantify the probability that a sovereign defaults on repayment obligations in foreign currency. Adopting the structural approach as first introduced by Merton, we consider the sovereigns ability-to-pay, characterised by the sum of discounted future payment surpluses, as the underlying...

Rational partisan theory of political business cycles suggests differences in inflation under left-wing and right-wing governments. It also suggests temporary post-electoral booms after election of left-wing governments and temporary recessions after election of right-wing ones. However, the...

An endogenous growth model with a financial sector is formulated, and empirical analyses are conducted. The model exhibits structural shifts and breaks caused by institutional change, suggesting that a linear approach is inadequate. To address this point empirically, we fit data for 90 countries...

The present paper makes a contribution to fill in a gap left open by dynamic theory and evolutionary economics as well. While the "closed loop" dynamic theory has explanation power in analyzing evolving economic systems at the price of neglecting the possible occurrence of non anticipated...