The aim of this paper is to model the interaction between the loan market and real activity, while financial frictions are explicitly taken into account. The econometric methodology used is VECM. Johansen's approach is employed to allow for multiple cointegration. Financial frictions are...

This paper uses a natural experiment to study the impact of a loan supply shock on a Hungarian matched bank-firm dataset. The event studied is a funding shock Hungarian banks faced following the collapse of the Lehman Brothers. Banks were affected via their external funding and positions on the...

We analyse how the COVID-19 crisis impacted firms' employment levels and digitalisation efforts differently depending on their pre-crisis productivity, digitalisation and growth performance. We match the EIB Investment Survey with firm-level financial statements from the ORBIS database for 27 EU...

This paper contributes to a fast-growing literature on the impact of COVID-19 on the business economy, by focusing on how a particular group of firms - High-Growth Enterprises (HGEs) have been affected by COVID-19 across several dimensions, such as investment expectations, investment priorities,...

Due to the phenomenon of revision, published macroeconomic data can never be regarded as final, because they are subject to continuous change, although the size of the change decreases over time. Our methodology is able to give an estimate of expected future routine revisions, based on the time...

The ultimate aim of this paper is to generate micro-level risk measures, which can provide a useful input for further research. To this end, this paper estimates bankruptcy probabilities for Hungarian firms using probit estimation. The estimated models show reasonable performance in...

The study analyses the relationship between real economy convergence and the convergence of relative prices. Similar to its peers in the CEE region, a significant part of Hungary's price convergence with developed Western European countries can be attributed to the convergence of the real...

The decade preceding the 2008 recession was marked by a rapid rise in household debt in several regions. Strong household lending prior to the recession boosted economic growth in the affected countries, but indebtedness then became one of the main sources of vulnerability of these countries...

During the crisis, firms saw their profitability deteriorate sharply in the weakening demand environment, which they reacted to by curbing labour costs. Cost-side adjustment thus acted as a buffer against inflationary pressure. In earlier analyses, we investigated this behaviour of firms using...

The COVID-19 shock hit firms hard, on average, but how did it hit in the distribution of firms, differently between the high-growth superstars and the firms that were already struggling to survive? This paper implements graphical techniques and quantile regression to analyse the effect of the...