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Autoregressive models are used routinely in forecasting and often lead to better performance than more complicated …
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Autoregressive models are used routinely in forecasting and often lead to better performance than more complicated …
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This paper develops parameter instability and structural change tests within predictive regressions for economic systems governed by persistent vector autoregressive dynamics. Specifically, in a setting where all - or a subset - of the variables may be fractionally integrated and the predictive...
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