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-Gaussian (Kalman) filter. Crucially, consistent estimation does not require differencing the data despite it being cointegrated of …
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-time and final data releases differ, we also observe minimal impacts on the relative forecasting performance of indicator …
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This paper provides international evidence on time-variation in trend productivity growth, based on the dataset for hours worked constructed by Ohanian & Raffo (2012). Applying both the endogenous break tests of Bai & Perron (1998, 2003) and the Stock & Watson (1996, 1998) TVP-MUB methodology,...
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On purpose to extract trend and cycle from a time series many competing techniques have been developed. The probably most prevalent is the Hodrick Prescott filter. However this filter suffers from diverse shortcomings, especially the subjective choice of its penalization parameter. To this point...
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