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the Euro by applying the cointegration analysis to exchange rates. The introduction of the Euro has changed the structure … the introduction of a new currency has resulted in inefficient markets, a bivariate cointegration analysis should be … adjustment to the long-run equilibrium. -- foreign exchange market ; market efficiency ; cointegration …
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the null hypothesis of no cointegration against alternatives which are fractionally cointegrated. Monte Carlo simulations … (EMH) ; Present Value (PV) models ; fractional cointegration …
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In a model where a variable Y[sub t] is proportional to the present value, with constant discount rate, of expected future values of a variable y[sub t] the "spread" S[sub t]= Y[sub t] - [theta sub t] will be stationary for some [theta] whether or not y[sub t]must be differenced to induce...
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