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Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more difficult task, perhaps almost impossible....
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We study the behaviour of the Betfair betting market and the sterling/dollar exchange rate (futures price) during 24 June 2016, the night of the EU referendum. We investigate how the two markets responded to the announcement of the voting results. We employ a Bayesian updating methodology to...
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employing Fourier unit root tests and a nonparametric rank test for cointegration. Data comprises monthly data on the three …
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This paper examines several US monthly financial time series data using fractional integration and cointegration … exploiting recent developments in fractional cointegration allows to investigate in greater depth the relationships between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014183200
market. For this aim, we use fractional cointegration tests based essentially on estimation of an error correction bivariate … ARFIMA model. The cointegration tests are conducted using spot and 1- month forward daily exchange rate of the Tunisian Dinar … fractional cointegration between the one-month forward rate and the spot rate relative to these parities (TND/USD) and (TND/Euro) …
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