Similar Search Results

State dependent asymmetric loss and the consensus forecast of real US GDP growth

Higgins, Matthew Lawrence; Mishra, Sagarika - In: Economic modelling 38 (2014), pp. 627-632

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010418959

Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle

Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - 2015

relationship between a change in trend growth rates and forecast bias, as suggested in the literature, breaks down when only …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486869

The reduction of uncertainty in making decisions by evaluating the macroeconomic forecasts performance in Romania

Bratu, Mihaela - In: Economic research 25 (2012) 2, pp. 239-261

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009564295

European Commission's forecasts accuracy revisited : statistical properties and possible causes of forecast errors

Fioramanti, Marco; Gonzales Cabanillas, Laura; … - 2016

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448096

Using bank supervisory data to improve macroeconomic forecasts

Peek, Joe; Rosengren, Eric S.; Tootell, Geoffrey M. B. - In: New England economic review (1999), pp. 21-32

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001430772

Specification error, prediction bias and rational expectations

Kennedy, Peter - In: Economic inquiry : journal of the Western Economic … 37 (1999) 2, pp. 382-384

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001399483

Evaluating macroeconomic forecasts : a concise review of some recent developments

Franses, Philip Hans; McAleer, Michael; Legerstee, Rianne - In: Journal of economic surveys 28 (2014) 2, pp. 195-208

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293027

The Irrelevance of Tests for Bias in Series of Macroeconomic Forecasts

Webb, Roy H. - 2012

The idea of rational expectations has revolutionized macroeconomics. Several authors believe that the idea can be easily tested by a simple econometric procedure. This paper, however, presents several reasons for questioning the relevance of such tests

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102527

Forecast Bias in Two Dimensions

Croushore, Dean - 2012

examine how tests for bias in expectations, measured using the Survey of Professional Forecasters, have changed over time. In … how to measure the accuracy of forecasts. The results of bias tests are found to depend on the subsample in question, as …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107655

Economic forecasts, anchoring bias, and stock returns

Birz, Gene; Dutta, Sandip; Yu, Han - In: Financial management : FM 51 (2022) 1, pp. 169-191

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166823

A service of the

zbw